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Sunday 23 February 2014

Barclays English Premier League Prognosis

Ok so there is two months or so of top football to play and realistically 5 teams are in contention at the top of the table.  I know folks have their favourites and none of those top teams float my boat so I think as an analyst I provide a fresh but viable result based analysis for the remainder of the EPL.
Below is the prognosis for those top five teams and at the end how they are likely to finish on the table.

Chelsea
Current Points 60
 as at 23 Feb
Prognosis 84
To Play Home away For Against Points
Fulham Away 2 3
Spurs Home 1 1 1
Aston Villa Away 2 2 1
Arsenal Home 1 1 1
Stoke Home 4 0 3
Crystal Palace Away 2 0 3
Swansea Away 2 1 3
Sunderland  Home 3 1 3
Liverpool Away 1 2 0
Norwich Home 2 0 3
Cardiff Away 1 0 3
24
Arsenal
Current Points 59
 as at 23 Feb
Prognosis 76
To Play Home away For Against Points
Stoke Away 1 1 1
Swansea Home 2 0 3
Spurs Away 0 2 0
Chelsea Away 1 1 1
Man City Home 0 1 0
Everton Away 1 2 0
West Ham Home 3 0 3
Hull Away 1 0 3
Newcastle Home 1 2 0
West Brom Home 3 1 3
Norwich Away 5 0 3
17
Manchester City
Current Points 57
 as at 23 Feb
Prognosis 81
To Play Home away For Against Points
Aston Villa Home 4 0 3
Hull Away 1 1 1
Fulham Home 4 0 3
Man United Away 2 2 1
Arsenal Away 1 0 3
Southhampton Home 2 0 3
Liverpool Away 1 2 0
West Brom Home 3 1 3
Crystal Palace Away 2 0 3
Everton Away 2 2 1
West Ham Home 3 1 3
24
Liverpool
Current Points 53
 as at 23 Feb
Prognosis 83
To Play Home away For Against Points
Swansea Home 1 0 3
Southhampton Away 2 0 3
Sunderland  Home 3 1 3
Man United Away 1 1 1
Cardiff Away 1 0 3
Spurs Home 2 2 1
West Ham Away 3 1 3
Man City Home 2 1 3
Norwich Away 2 1 3
Chelsea Home 2 1 3
Crystal Palace Away 3 0 3
Newcastle Home 2 2 1
30
Spurs
Current Points 50
 as at 23 Feb
Prognosis 79
To Play Home away For Against Points
Norwich Away 2 1 3
Cardiff Home 1 0 3
Chelsea Away 1 1 1
Arsenal Home 2 0 3
Southhampton Home 3 0 3
Liverpool Away 2 2 1
Sunderland Home 3 0 3
West Brom Away 2 0 3
Fulham Home 4 1 3
Stoke Away 1 0 3
Aston Villa Home 2 0 3
29
Prognosis Standings
Chelsea 84
Liverpool 83
Manchester City 81
Spurs 79
Arsenal 76

Note to Add.  Have since been informed Man City have a game in hand versus Sunderland (which didn't show at Barclays Fixtures Page) so given 3 points for that game they tie with Chelsea on 84 points and Goal difference will settle the comp.

I neglected to place the Final Standings for the 2014/15 EPL!!

1Chelsea (C)3826937332+4187Qualification for the Champions League group stage
2Manchester City3824778338+4579
3Arsenal3822977136+3575
4Manchester United38201086237+2570Qualification for the Champions League play-off round
5Tottenham Hotspur38197125853+564

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