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Showing posts with label Germany. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Germany. Show all posts

Tuesday, 15 July 2014

FIFA World Cup - a summary

Well it's fair to say the World Rankings are quite accurate when it comes to Football, especially given the results of the recent World Cup.  So I decided to analyse rankings and placings and provide some insight.

Below is a list of teams as ranked in top 16 (unless otherwise stated) on 5th June 2014 before the WC.  Alongside is where they managed to get in the Cup.



1. Spain  Didn't make it out of group.
2. Germany  Won the final.
3. Brazil  4th
4. Portugal   Didn't make it out of group.
5. Argentina  2nd
6. Switzerland   Last 16 no further.
7. Uruguay  Last 16 no further.
8. Colombia  Quarterfinals no further.
9. Italy   Didn't make it out of group.
10. England   Didn't make it out of group.
11. Belgium  Quarterfinals no further.
12. Greece  Last 16 no further
13. USA Last 16 no further
14. Chile  Last 16 no further
15. Netherlands  3rd
16 Ukraine (failed to qualify)

17.  France Qualified and last 16 no further.
20.  Mexico  Qualified and last 16 no further.
22.  Algeria  Qualified and last 16 no further.
28.  Costa Rica Qualified and last 16 no further.
44.  Nigeria  Qualified and last 16 no further.

So it's very good to see most of the top ranked 16 teams made the last 16, with the obvious exceptions of England, Spain (reigning World Champs), Portugal and Italy (Interesting also that three of those countries are considered the hotbeds for club football in the world.)

As usual World Cups of any sporting code throw up surprises and the last five teams mentioned separately above certainly surprised, none more so than Nigeria, the only team making the last 16 outside the top 32 ranked teams in the world.

The rankings do match current achievements though the demise of Spain and Portugal especially will be interesting to see when the new rankings come out.  On paper then it was no surprise Germany won, Brazil and Argentina made the final four, leaving the only real surprise being the Netherlands finishing 3rd.

Great World Cup?  Maybe, maybe not.  Certainly a spectacle that provided high drama, dubious officiating, and that burgeoning Hollywooding, but yes I enjoyed what I saw and I saw plenty (thanks to time zones being in synch for once).  Bring on 2018.

Thursday, 10 July 2014

FIFA World Cup 2014 Final - Tale of the Tape


So Argentina and Germany face off in their third clash in a final of a World Cup match.  Below is a look at the road to that final and a mathematical evaluation of who is likely to win.

Argentina For Against  Team Ranking
Ranked 5 1 0 Iran 43
3 2 Nigeria 44
1 0 Switzerland 6
1 0 Belgium 11
0 0 Netherlands 15
 Total 6 2 119
 Averages 1.2 0.4 23.8
Germany For Against  Team Ranking
Ranked 2 2 2 Ghana 37
1 0 USA 13
2 1 Algeria 22
1 0 France 17
7 1 Brazil 3
 Total 13 4 92
 Averages 2.6 0.8 18.4

Argentina have scored around half the goals the Germans have this tournament, but have also conceded half (in fact four clean sheets to the Germans two).  It's obvious from these stats that the Brazil game balloons Germany's stats, an aberration, but they do appear to be the better team on goal.  However from the stats the Argentinian defense is rock solid so it seems both teams are well matched on paper.

I can't (and won't) pick a winner as I see this as too close to call.  Statistically the Germans should win by a score of 1-0, but I'm sure Argentina will have something to say about that.