So Argentina and Germany face off in their third clash in a final of a World Cup match. Below is a look at the road to that final and a mathematical evaluation of who is likely to win.
| Argentina | For | Against | Team | Ranking | |
| Ranked 5 | 1 | 0 | Iran | 43 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nigeria | 44 | ||
| 1 | 0 | Switzerland | 6 | ||
| 1 | 0 | Belgium | 11 | ||
| 0 | 0 | Netherlands | 15 | ||
| Total | 6 | 2 | 119 | ||
| Averages | 1.2 | 0.4 | 23.8 | ||
| Germany | For | Against | Team | Ranking | |
| Ranked 2 | 2 | 2 | Ghana | 37 | |
| 1 | 0 | USA | 13 | ||
| 2 | 1 | Algeria | 22 | ||
| 1 | 0 | France | 17 | ||
| 7 | 1 | Brazil | 3 | ||
| Total | 13 | 4 | 92 | ||
| Averages | 2.6 | 0.8 | 18.4 |
Argentina have scored around half the goals the Germans have this tournament, but have also conceded half (in fact four clean sheets to the Germans two). It's obvious from these stats that the Brazil game balloons Germany's stats, an aberration, but they do appear to be the better team on goal. However from the stats the Argentinian defense is rock solid so it seems both teams are well matched on paper.
I can't (and won't) pick a winner as I see this as too close to call. Statistically the Germans should win by a score of 1-0, but I'm sure Argentina will have something to say about that.
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