Wednesday, 2 July 2014

The ICC World Test rankings - my view

Ok it's fair to say the rankings don't (and probably never will) reflect the current status of Test Cricket.  As with all systems, there are either inherent calculation flaws or teams swing up and down with impunity.  They are also weighted to some degree by who plays whom and how often.  Take for example the West Indies, they do play Zimbabwe and Bangladesh a lot and as a result their current ranking has them down the ladder.

Is there a fairer way of doing the rankings?  If you go to the ICC World Rankings you'll see that they have a rather good way of determining placings on the table, but could it be better?  I think personally they need to cover more series results and not governed by years but rather say the last ten series results.  That way we see teams playing between 5 and 7 other teams over the period and it also reflects form loss and recovery over a period of playing time.

I am in the process of designing a rankings system based on the last ten test match series.  So far I haven't done any weighting (scoring points based on where opponents are on the ranking) but with the work today I have found some intriguing results.  Below is the table as it stands according to my ranking calculations.  Of course this doesn't factor in 4 or 5 test match series and actually gives weight to the fact all series should be of 3 test matches regardless so all rankings have merit (even the current system):

Based on Last 10 Series
South Africa Points given Total Played Points Awarded
Away Series Win 8 3 24
Home Series Win 7 4 28
Away Series Drawn 6 1 6
Home Series Drawn 5 1 5
Away Matches Won 4 5 20
Home Matches Won 3 10 30
Away Matches Drawn 2 5 10
Home Matches Drawn 1 1 1
124 Total for Ranking
Australia Points given Total Played Points Awarded
Away Series Win 8 3 24
Home Series Win 7 3 21
Away Series Drawn 6 1 6
Home Series Drawn 5 1 5
Away Matches Won 4 5 20
Home Matches Won 3 13 39
Away Matches Drawn 2 3 6
Home Matches Drawn 1 0 0
121 Total for Ranking
Pakistan Points given Total Played Points Awarded
Away Series Win 8 2 16
Home Series Win 7 2 14
Away Series Drawn 6 2 12
Home Series Drawn 5 2 10
Away Matches Won 4 5 20
Home Matches Won 3 6 18
Away Matches Drawn 2 2 4
Home Matches Drawn 1 3 3
97 Total for Ranking
Sri Lanka Points given Total Played Points Awarded
Away Series Win 8 2 16
Home Series Win 7 2 14
Away Series Drawn 6 1 6
Home Series Drawn 5 2 10
Away Matches Won 4 4 16
Home Matches Won 3 4 12
Away Matches Drawn 2 5 10
Home Matches Drawn 1 3 3
87 Total for Ranking
England Points given Total Played Points Awarded
Away Series Win 8 1 8
Home Series Win 7 3 21
Away Series Drawn 6 2 12
Home Series Drawn 5 0 0
Away Matches Won 4 3 12
Home Matches Won 3 7 21
Away Matches Drawn 2 4 8
Home Matches Drawn 1 4 4
86 Total for Ranking
India Points given Total Played Points Awarded
Away Series Win 8 1 8
Home Series Win 7 4 28
Away Series Drawn 6 0 0
Home Series Drawn 5 0 0
Away Matches Won 4 1 4
Home Matches Won 3 11 33
Away Matches Drawn 2 4 8
Home Matches Drawn 1 2 2
83 Total for Ranking
West Indies Points given Total Played Points Awarded
Away Series Win 8 3 24
Home Series Win 7 2 14
Away Series Drawn 6 0 0
Home Series Drawn 5 0 0
Away Matches Won 4 3 12
Home Matches Won 3 5 15
Away Matches Drawn 2 4 8
Home Matches Drawn 1 1 1
74 Total for Ranking
New Zealand  Points given Total Played Points Awarded
Away Series Win 8 1 8
Home Series Win 7 2 14
Away Series Drawn 6 2 12
Home Series Drawn 5 1 5
Away Matches Won 4 3 12
Home Matches Won 3 3 9
Away Matches Drawn 2 2 4
Home Matches Drawn 1 5 5
69 Total for Ranking

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